Department of Statistics

How long can a human live? New research predicts there's a chance that someone in the world will celebrate a 130th birthday in this century. Michael Pearce, a doctoral student in statistics at the UW, is quoted.

Michael Pearce, a UW doctoral student in statistics, and Adrian Raftery, a professor of sociology, discuss the results of their new study.

"The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced in May 2021 that the nation’s total fertility rate had reached 1.64 children per woman in 2020, dropping 4% from 2019, a record low for the nation. The news led to many stories about a ‘baby bust’ harming the country ... But as a statistician and sociologist who collaborates with the United Nations Population Division to develop new statistical population forecasting methods, I’m not yet calling this a crisis," writes Adrian Raftery, professor of statistics at the UW.

Statistics PhD students David Marcano, Daniel Suen, and Hassan Nasif have recieved either NSF Graduate Research Fellowships or honorable mentions.

Take a look back at the last year of the UW's research of and adaptation to the COVID-19 pandemic.

A study by Adrian Raftery, statistics professor, is cited in this article about how much global emissions must fall to halt climate change.

A new study says that carbon emission cuts need to be about 80% more ambitious to stay below 2 degrees Celsius global warming — considered a threshold for climate stability and climate-related risks such as excessive heat, drought, extreme weather and sea level rise. The UW's Adrian Raftery, a professor of statistics, and Pieran Lu, a doctoral student in statistics, are quoted.

The pledges countries made to reduce emissions as part of the 2015 Paris agreement are woefully inadequate, and the world must nearly double its greenhouse gas-cutting goals to avoid the most catastrophic effects of climate change, according to research published Tuesday. Adrian Raftery, professor of statistics at the UW, is quoted.

One of the first actions by President Biden after his inauguration was bringing the U.S. back into the Paris climate agreement. A new study from a researcher at the University of Washington shows people how much more we will have to do, to meet the goals in that accord. Adrian Raftery, a professor of statistics, is quoted.

Adrian Raftery, professor of statistics, and Peiran Liu, doctoral student in statistics, have co-authored a new study that found that the planet has a less than 5% chance of staying within the goal of 2 degrees Celcius warming this century.

Elena Erosheva, UW Professor of Statistics and Social Work has been named a member of the National Academies Committee on Increasing Diversity and Inclusion in the Leadership of Competed Space Missions by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

Department of Statistics faculty are featured in this article about their COVID-19 research.

Assistant Professor of statistics Alex Luedtke has identified statistical methods for the analysis of COVID-19 treatment trials.

The governors of Iowa and North Dakota recently announced mandates that require people to wear masks in public. Both leaders previously resisted mask rules but issued them in the past week as daily COVID-19 cases spiked in their states, overrunning hospitals and intensive care units. Christopher Adolph, associate professor of political science at the UW, is quoted.

Think voting is simple? A new course co-taught by statistics and philosophy faculty explores the many complexities of the voting process.